Wood Grouse (Tetrao urogallus), GLM

Wood grouse (Tetrao urogallus): habitat changes modelling in EEBIO Region in scope of the IMAGE climate change data: GLM-scenario by 2050

Kolomytsev G., PrydatkoV.

Tetrao urogallus (Linnaeus, 1758) wood grouse; glykhar (rus), glushets (ukr) Wood Grouse is well known game species in this region in past. In 1990s it was listed in the Ukraine Red Data Book register. Main threads to the species included: disturbance, habitats destroy, fragmentation, other. This BioModel post presents at first a reconstruction story concerning T.urogallus natural habitat changes in GLOBIO Ukraine Region and outskirts in ‘1970s-2006s′. For the purpose we incorporated maps and data of more then 13 sources to ArcMap-GIS. New GLM scenarios demonstrated serious erosion of the species habitats and its ‘migration trend’ to the ‘NE’ direction by 2050 (see the gif-animation). Read more about other bird species trends in the summarized table using BioModel web-page. (Our list of modelled Galliformes includes also Lyrurus tetrix (Linnaeus, 1758)). tet_ur_curr_distrib tet_ur_curr_fut_distrib BioModel produced also the first educational animated story about historical natural habitat changes of the species during ‘1970-2006′ – see t_urogMOVIE. The supportive picture shows a rare historical map of 70’s on location of game-bird-species in the former USSR (1973), that we reconstructed by BioModel-team in GIS environment.

t_uroga1970smThe diagram reflects local statistics vision, which is based on data of Ukraine ministries and committies, and our view on possible ln-trend of the population.

tetrao-census

The model is published with the assistance of ULRMC, funded by ‘Projection of Species- and Species-Climate Based Models on to the GLOBIO Ukraine Region, and Scenarios Development’ Project according to the Contract Е/555050/01/МО (2006) between The Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (MNP, Bilthoven) and International Association ‘Ukrainian Land and Resource Management Center’ (ULRMC, Kyiv).

References

  1. T.urodallus/EEBIO GIS (ULRMC, 2006).
  2. T.urogallus/EcoProfile v.2.0 (MNP, 2008).
  3. Map of the USSR European Part Vegetation, M1:4,000, 000, drawn up by Prof. J.Kuznetsov (1928) – Rus. [The map was granted by the Vernadsky National Library (Kyiv) – vectorization made by V.Prydatko, A.Ischuk, Y.Apetova, A.Kalynychenko (ULRMC)].
  4. Forest Game Birds and Animals/USSR Forest Atlas. 1973 – Rus. [The Atlas was granted to the EEBIO Project by the Vernadsky National University Library (Kyiv); vectorization by V.Prydatko et al. (ULRMC)].
  5. BioDAT (by A. Puzachenko). 1980s – Rus.
  6. Vegetation of European Part of the USSR: Analytical Maps I-IX (Attachments)/Vegetation of European Part of the USSR. S.P., Nauka, 1980.—429 pp. (Rus)
  7. Ukraine Forest in 1990‘s based on Landsat Data (ULRMC, 2005)
  8. Ukraine Forest in 2000’s based on Landsat Data (ULRMC, 2005).
  9. T.urogallus/Red Data Book of Ukraine (1994) – Ukr.
  10. Digital Ukraine 1:500.000 (ДП-МЦЕК-МНС, 2001).
  11. Statistics Bulletin. About Protected Areas Fund of Ukraine in 2002 (the form #1-zapovidnyk). Kyiv: SSCU, 2003.- 171 p.
  12. Key Bird Areas in European Russia (2000) – Rus.
  13. Birds of Europe (1999).
  14. Prydatko V. About food web of the Carpathian wood grouse in the game-area ‘Majdan’. Thesis for 7th All-USSR ornithological conference. Alma-Ata. 1978. p.54. –Rus.

Published on: July 7, 2008 Last updated on: May 22, 2009